10-year breakeven inflation, 2003 to 2026
About this statistic
10-year breakeven inflation stood at 2 in 2026, down 6.5% on the previous period.
10-year breakeven inflation is a daily market rate from U.S. Treasury data published through FRED. Treasury yields set the baseline for borrowing costs across the economy: mortgages, corporate debt, and equity valuations all price off this curve. Since 2003 the series has ranged from 0.3 percent (2008) to 2.9 percent (2022); the latest reading is 2.3 percent for 2026, down from 2.5 percent the period before.
Daily series are noisy up close and legible from a distance. The multi-year arc tracks inflation expectations and Federal Reserve policy more than any single day's trading.
Frequently asked questions
Where does this data come from?
FRED aggregates official series; this one originates with the U.S. Department of the Treasury. Kitegraph refreshes it on FRED's publication schedule.
Are values revised?
Yes. Statistical agencies revise recent readings as fuller data arrives, so the latest points can change between releases.
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